1月26日，在周末明尼阿波利斯发生致命枪击事件后，美国参议院民主党人要求对一项重大支出法案进行修改，预测市场交易员加大了对美国政府再次停摆的押注。
当地时间周一早间，Polymarket平台显示1月底前政府停摆的概率为78%，较上周五的不到10%大幅上升。数据显示，相关合约已吸引约750万美元的总交易量。Kalshi平台上的类似合约也显示，1月31日政府停摆的可能性急剧上升。此前多位参议院民主党人周六发表激烈声明，他们表示将不会支持为国土安全部（其下属机构包括负责边境安全和移民执法的部门）提供任何资金。在此次枪击事件前，许多民主党人原本预计会支持该支出法案。
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