全球外汇与固定收益市场综述:市场动态解析

投资观察
Sep 22

最新一期的市场对话聚焦于外汇与固定收益领域,这些内容全天候独家发布在道琼斯通讯社平台上。

格林尼治标准时间0406——根据《华尔街日报》对十位经济学家的调查,其中九位预计印度尼西亚央行将在周三维持其基准七天逆回购利率不变,保持在5.75%的水平。然而,有一位经济学家预测,印尼央行可能将政策利率上调25个基点至6.0%。

汇丰控股的经济学家在一份研究报告中指出,印尼盾汇率保持稳定,这或许为该国央行在九月份的会议上继续按兵不动提供了操作空间。不过,他们也警示称,油价波动、厄尔尼诺现象以及美元走势等因素,可能给通胀、财政赤字和贸易收支带来风险,这些风险或将在今年晚些时候削弱印尼盾的强势。基于此,汇丰预计印尼央行的下一次加息动作可能要等到第四季度才会出现,届时基准利率有望被推高至6.0%。

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