期权聚焦 | SMCI惊现64.2万美元远月虚值Call大单,市场情绪看涨,押注长期上涨弹性

期权女巫
Jul 08

SMCI收报26.25美元,跌3.46%。

尽管股价日内有所回调,但期权市场却出现引人注目的大额看涨押注。一笔规模超过64万美元的远月虚值看涨期权大单,成为市场情绪的焦点。

期权指标分析

SMCI 当前隐含波动率(IV)为 103.16%,IV 百分位为 95.62%,处于明显偏高区间,说明当前期权隐含波动率在历史分布中位于高位,整体期权定价偏贵;同时 IV/HV 比率为 0.68,反映出隐含波动率相对历史波动率处于一定折价状态。Call/Put 成交量比为 2.59,显示出市场交易活跃度明显偏向看涨期权。

大单交易

一笔规模达64.20万美元的CALL买入成为当日核心大单,买方集中买入2026-08-21到期的27.0行权价看涨期权,共计2000张。以当前股价26.25来看,这是一笔虚值看涨单,说明资金愿意为未来较长时间的上行空间支付权利金,属于较为明确的方向性偏多押注。由于行权价略高于现价,这类交易通常反映出资金看好后续股价突破当前区间,并对中长期上涨弹性有所期待。

整体来看,SMCI当日大单情绪明显偏多,市场主导资金呈现单边看涨特征。全量大单几乎完全由看涨资金构成,且核心成交直接体现为主动买入虚值CALL,说明交易者更倾向于押注后续上涨机会,而不是进行防御性对冲或中性收租。结合大单结构特征判断,当前期权资金情绪偏积极,倾向于认为SMCI后续存在进一步上行空间。

策略参考

鉴于当前隐含波动率处于高位,对于希望进行方向性看涨但不愿支付过高权利金的投资者,可以考虑构建牛市价差策略,例如买入行权价27美元的看涨期权并卖出行权价更高的看涨期权,以降低成本和保证金占用。

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