永利澳门(01128)今日盘中大跌5.75%,报5.58港元,引发市场关注。与此同时,其他澳门博彩股也出现普遍下跌,新濠国际发展跌6.57%,金沙中国跌5.14%,美高梅中国跌4.07%。
导致博彩股下跌的主要原因是澳门警方近期采取行动,打击两个涉嫌参与非法兑换货币的犯罪团伙,并在澳门逮捕了42人。瑞银分析认为,这一消息可能会影响高端玩家的资金来源能力,从而对博彩业造成短期压力。不过,瑞银也指出,其他合法资金渠道(如自动柜员机)可能会部分抵消这一影响。市场预计,行业短期情绪可能会受到影响,而近期的博彩收入趋势将有助于评估此次行动对总博彩收入的实际影响。
尽管如此,摩根大通近日发布的报告显示,澳门3月前16日的赌收约为101亿澳门元,符合该行预期。摩根大通预计3月澳门赌收约为190亿澳门元,并认为下半年赌收将加快增长。该行表示,虽然投资者情绪仍然低迷,但由于2025年的需求势头稳定,加上6月以后的比较基数较低,长线投资者可能正在逐渐收集优质博彩股票。这一观点为行业长期发展提供了一定的积极信号。
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