Recent studies indicate that nearly half of older American workers anticipate relying on Social Security benefits as their primary source of income during retirement. This trend has sparked concerns among retirement industry experts and organizations about the financial well-being of future retirees.
According to the 2026 Retirement Trend Report released by property and casualty insurance brokerage and benefits advisory firm NFP in July of this year, reliance on Social Security among workers increases significantly with age. The report, based on a survey of 1,000 working adults involved in household financial planning, found that only 12% of workers under 35 view Social Security as their main retirement income source. Among workers aged 35 to 54, that figure rises to 22%, while for those aged 55 and older, it jumps to 41%.
The 2026 Retirement Confidence Survey from the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI), conducted in January among over 2,000 workers and retirees, reflects a similar trend. The survey shows that 32% of respondents aged 25 to 34 expect Social Security to be their primary retirement income, compared to 44% of those aged 55 to 64.
In response to this situation, the Social Security Administration explicitly states on its website that Social Security benefits should not be viewed as a retiree's sole source of income. The trust fund is estimated to replace only about 40% of a worker's pre-retirement earnings on average. Jessica Johnston, Senior Strategist for Economic Well-Being at the non-profit National Council on Aging (NCOA), emphasizes that it is not advisable to rely completely on Social Security for retirement, as it is highly likely to be insufficient to cover living expenses. Craig Copeland, Director of Wealth Benefits Research at EBRI, also notes that only about 10% of people can maintain a decent standard of living in retirement relying solely on Social Security income.
Currently, there is considerable debate within the retirement planning industry regarding the amount of savings needed for retirement. Some financial planners suggest workers accumulate hundreds of thousands to millions of dollars as a supplement to Social Security, with some reports proposing a "1.2 million dollar" benchmark for a comfortable retirement. However, such high savings targets are exacerbating retirement anxiety among many people. The NFP report shows that 69% of surveyed workers lack confidence in achieving a comfortable retirement, and over 70% report being behind on their retirement savings goals.
On the other hand, some experts argue that most workers do not need to save millions. According to the 2025 Retirement Survey from the non-profit Transamerica Center for Retirement Studies, the median household savings for U.S. retirees is only $126,000, and about half of retirees have no retirement savings at all. Despite this, a Gallup poll conducted in April 2026 found that 82% of retirees believe their funds are sufficient to maintain a comfortable lifestyle. In that survey, 62% of respondents listed Social Security as their primary income source, while only 27% mentioned retirement savings.
Industry insiders point out that Social Security benefits provide a higher income replacement rate for lower-income groups. Under the current U.S. Social Security system design, the replacement rate can reach up to 90% for lower-income earners. Additionally, retirees without a mortgage can rely more heavily on Social Security. However, Johnston warns that about 9 million older Americans currently have annual incomes below $20,000, and some groups face difficult choices between basic living expenses like housing and healthcare.
Experts generally advise that workers should secure retirement income through multiple channels, including Social Security, personal savings, investments, and potentially employer pensions, to ensure quality of life in their later years.