Battle for "China's NVIDIA" Heats Up! Moore Threads and Muxi Soar in Market Debut

Deep News
Yesterday

The domestic GPU sector has welcomed a new contender following Cambricon and Moore Threads. On its first trading day, Muxi shares surged over 700%, peaking at 895 yuan, with single-lot floating profits nearing 400,000 yuan—setting a record for IPO performance under China’s full registration-based system. By market close, its valuation reached 332 billion yuan, approaching Moore Threads’ 336 billion yuan listing last week.

Despite lacking profitability and being in early-stage commercialization, Muxi’s sky-high valuation has drawn scrutiny. The core question remains: How does the market assess domestic GPU firms’ worth?

Financially, Muxi appears imperfect: unprofitable with a 346 million yuan net loss in Q1-Q3 2025 and a P/S ratio exceeding 150x. Yet investors awarded it extreme premiums, signaling a pivotal shift—China’s GPU sector now faces a "supply-side consolidation + demand-side forced transition" phase.

Over two years, booming computing demand—from AI training/inference to smart data centers—has driven enterprise investments. Meanwhile, global supply chain realignments and policy shifts have disrupted high-end foreign GPU availability in China. Consequently, market focus has evolved from "technical feasibility" to production scalability, real-world deployment, and revenue traction. Muxi stands among few domestic GPU players disclosing scaled revenues.

**Founder DNA: Muxi as AMD, Moore as NVIDIA?** Per its prospectus, Shanghai-based Muxi (founded September 2020) develops high-performance general-purpose GPUs for AI/data centers/HPC, boasting rare in-house IP, mass production, and full-stack software capabilities. Its trio of AMD-veteran founders—CEO Chen Weiliang (13-year AMD R&D lead), Peng Li, and Yang Jian—imprint an "AMD-style" approach. In contrast, Moore Threads’ leadership, including ex-NVIDIA Greater China VP Zhang Jianzhong, carries distinct "NVIDIA genes," emphasizing ecosystem building versus Muxi’s focus on commercialization efficiency. Post-IPO, Chen controls ~23% of shares.

Backed by state AI funds, Sequoia China, and strategic investors (JD.com, Meituan), Muxi’s shareholder mix reflects both financial and industrial confidence in homegrown computing.

**Tech Divergence: Ecosystem vs. Compatibility** China’s GPU players diverge into: 1) AI-specific chips (Cambricon: specialized but limited versatility); 2) Full-stack GPUs with proprietary ecosystems (Moore Threads: high migration costs but long-term potential); 3) CUDA-compatible general GPUs (Muxi’s path).

Muxi’s MXMACA software stack achieves high CUDA API compatibility, slashing porting efforts to one person-day for mid-complexity apps—lowering adoption barriers but raising questions about long-term ecosystem independence.

**Commercial Race: Muxi Targets Faster Profitability** Muxi has taped out multiple GPU generations: - **C500 series**: Mass-produced in 2024, driving revenues (2022: 426k yuan → 2025 Q1-Q3: 1.236bn yuan, mainly AI training/inference). - **C600 series**: Post-silicon validation underway, featuring advanced nodes and memory.

Still, losses persist (2025 Q1-Q3: -346mn yuan R&D-heavy). The firm targets breakeven by 2026, ahead of Moore Threads’ 2027 goal (2025 Q1-Q3: 785mn yuan revenue, -724mn yuan net loss). Cambricon’s precedent shows GPU firms can flip profits rapidly once catching substitution waves.

**The Real Battle Begins** To earn the "China’s NVIDIA" crown, firms must deliver: 1) Independent GPU IP; 2) Dominant software ecosystems; 3) Sustained超额 profits.

Neither Moore nor Muxi qualifies yet. While both enjoy stellar market debuts, the next 2-3 years will test who first closes the commercial loop—transitioning from shared NVIDIA spillover红利 to mastering GPU’s "soul." This war is just unfolding.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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