美元/新元汇率反弹行情正逼近55日指数移动平均线关键阻力位（当前位于1.2900水平）。新加坡大华银行全球经济与市场研究部高级技术策略师郭士亮指出，若汇率能有效突破并站稳该阻力位上方，则1.2698位置形成阶段底部的可能性将显著提升。不过鉴于该货币对自四月以来持续深跌，当前任何上行更可能属于修正性反弹，而非趋势性逆转。
技术图表释放的警示信号值得关注：日线图上的厚实Ichimoku云区可能延缓汇率进一步上行的步伐。当前汇价交投于1.2849附近，日内波动幅度有限。市场参与者正密切关注关键阻力位的攻防战，这将决定短期技术结构的演变方向。
（本文根据专业市场分析报告综合整理）
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