内银股集体拉升,交通银行涨近4%,农业银行涨超3%,花旗称公募、保险及AMC资金回流预期或支撑板块重估

老虎资讯综合
Jul 20

7月20日,港股内银股集体走高。交通银行涨近4%,农业银行涨超3%,中国银行建设银行招商银行涨近3%,工商银行涨超2%,中信银行涨近2%。

板块走强主要与高股息优势及资金回流预期有关,中金预测数据显示,工行、建行、中行、交行H股2026年预期股息率均在6.3厘至6.7厘之间,农行约5.8厘,招行约5.4厘。在内地一年期存款利率约1.5厘、港元定存约3厘的低利率环境下,内银H股股息率吸引力继续受到市场关注。

资金面上,花旗银行分析指出,内地公募基金改革、保险资金追逐高息资产,以及四大AMC的增持动力,均可能推动资金回流内银股。目前内银股占内地公募基金权重约3.8%,低于基准指数12.3%的权重,潜在回流资金规模约1850亿元人民币。

此外,7月至8月进入银行中报密集披露期,市场对内银股的关注也从高股息风格切换到业绩验证。国信证券判断,二季度银行板块因资金涌向科技赛道而被系统性减配的情况,三季度大概率不会延续,资金面扰动趋于尾声。

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