道明证券指出,加拿大央行与美联储之间的政策分歧预计将在2027年进一步扩大。该机构认为,短期内市场对加拿大央行的定价与国内经济基本面日益脱节——尽管油价高企,但尚无充分证据表明这种涨势正渗透至核心通胀领域。然而,道明证券观察到,尽管两国经济表现迥异,市场仍预期加拿大央行和美联储短期内将采取相似的政策路径。该机构进一步表示,即便迄今为止美国关税举措除特定行业外未产生持久冲击,但高度不确定的贸易环境应足以让加拿大央行在明年继续保持按兵不动的立场。
道明证券指出,加拿大央行与美联储之间的政策分歧预计将在2027年进一步扩大。该机构认为,短期内市场对加拿大央行的定价与国内经济基本面日益脱节——尽管油价高企,但尚无充分证据表明这种涨势正渗透至核心通胀领域。然而,道明证券观察到,尽管两国经济表现迥异,市场仍预期加拿大央行和美联储短期内将采取相似的政策路径。该机构进一步表示,即便迄今为止美国关税举措除特定行业外未产生持久冲击,但高度不确定的贸易环境应足以让加拿大央行在明年继续保持按兵不动的立场。
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