Option Focus | IREN’s $8.91 Million Double-Long Put Buy on $50 and $35 Strikes Signals Aggressive Bearish Conviction Despite Elevated 92.83% IV Percentile

Option Witch
8 hours ago

IREN closed at 21.64 USD, +20.02%.

The session’s most prominent options print was a directional double-long put structure with a net debit of $8.91 million, expressing aggressive bearish conviction. The trader bought 2,000 Feb. 19, 2027 $50.00 puts for $5.74 million and 2,000 May 21, 2027 $35.00 puts for $3.17 million, both in the money versus the reference price. A smaller calendar-style put combination generated a net credit of $550,000, but overall large-trade flow leans bearish on IREN.

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Options Indicators

IREN’s implied volatility stands at 136.78%, and with an IV percentile of 92.83%, current volatility is clearly in the elevated range, indicating that options are priced expensively versus their own historical norms. The IV/HV ratio of 1.12 further suggests implied volatility is running modestly above realized volatility, meaning the options market is embedding a premium for forward uncertainty rather than offering especially cheap volatility exposure.

The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.42.

Large Trades

A directional double-long put structure with a net debit of $8.91 million was the largest displayed trade, and it clearly expresses a bearish high-conviction view with added volatility exposure. The position bought 2,000 Feb. 19, 2027 $50.00 puts for $5.74 million and 2,000 May 21, 2027 $35.00 puts for $3.17 million, and both legs were in the money versus the $21.64 reference stock price. Using two in-the-money long puts across different downside strike levels suggests the trader was paying substantial premium for continued protection or for an aggressive bearish bet on further downside, with the staggered strikes indicating a willingness to own convex downside exposure over a long horizon rather than simply hedge near-term noise.

A calendar-style three-leg put combination generated a net credit of $550,000, combining sales of 3,000 Mar. 19, 2027 $15.00 puts and 1,875 more Mar. 19, 2027 $15.00 puts against the purchase of 2,500 Dec. 24, 2026 $18.00 puts. All legs were out of the money, and the structure points to a spread-style put strategy that monetizes premium in the longer-dated $15.00 strike while retaining nearer-dated downside exposure through the long $18.00 puts. The net credit indicates the trader was paid upfront, which fits a positioning mix of premium collection and tactical hedging, likely expressing a view that any weakness may occur before the later 2027 expiry while downside below $15.00 over the longer horizon is viewed as less urgent.

Overall, the large-trade flow leans bearish on IREN. The clearest signal comes from the dominant $8.91 million double-put purchase, which overwhelms the more nuanced and modestly sized credit put structure, and the broader bulk-order picture also shows put-heavy downside positioning remaining slightly larger than bullish flow. In short, institutional activity suggests caution and a negative directional bias, with traders willing to spend meaningful premium for downside exposure even as some smaller structures seek to offset cost through premium collection.

Strategy Reference

For a lower assignment probability, a put seller may consider shorting the Mar. 19, 2027 $15.00 puts, which remain far out of the money and generated net credit flow above; alternatively, a bear put spread such as buying the Dec. 24, 2026 $18.00 puts against selling the Mar. 19, 2027 $15.00 puts can express downside without posting excessive margin.

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Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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