鲍威尔杰克逊霍尔演讲要点

美股洞察
Aug 22

以下是美联储主席Jerome Powell今天上午在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔发表演讲的主要观点摘录。

**关于经济**

——"就美联储双重使命目标而言,劳动力市场仍接近充分就业,通胀虽然仍有所抬升,但已从疫情后的高点大幅回落。与此同时,风险平衡似乎正在发生变化。"

**关于就业市场**

——"虽然劳动力市场看起来处于平衡状态,但这是一种奇特的平衡,源于劳动力供需双方的显著放缓。这种异常情况表明,就业面临的下行风险正在上升。"

**关于关税**

——"关税对消费者价格的影响现在清晰可见。我们预计这些影响将在未来几个月内累积,但时间和幅度存在很大不确定性。对货币政策而言,关键问题是这些价格上涨是否可能显著增加持续通胀问题的风险。"

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