Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) saw its stock plummet 11.06% in pre-market trading on Monday, marking a significant reversal from its recent rally. This sharp decline comes amid broader concerns about oversupply in the lithium market and tempered short-term price expectations for the crucial battery metal.
The stock's dramatic fall follows a period of substantial gains, with LAC nearly doubling in value over the past week. Opening at $3.24 per share last Monday, it had climbed as high as $7.72 before settling at $6.32 by week's end. The surge was partly fueled by reports that the Trump administration was considering taking a stake in the company, potentially up to 10%, in exchange for adjusting conditions on a $2.3 billion Department of Energy loan for LAC's Thacker Pass project.
However, the excitement seems to have cooled as investors reassess the lithium market's near-term prospects. Goldman Sachs forecasts lithium prices to average $8,900 per ton in 2026, slightly below current spot prices of $9,150. The bank cites oversupply pressures as a key factor keeping the market subdued until at least 2027. This outlook contrasts sharply with the 2022 lithium price bubble, when the metal traded at nearly $80,000 per ton, highlighting the volatile nature of the market.
Despite the current downturn, Lithium Americas Corp. remains a significant player in the U.S. lithium industry. Its Thacker Pass project in Nevada, partially owned by General Motors, is expected to be a key resource in the Western Hemisphere, with plans to produce 40,000 tons of lithium carbonate annually in its first phase. However, investors appear to be taking a more cautious approach, balancing the long-term potential of LAC's projects against short-term market headwinds.