高盛首席中国股票策略师刘劲津近日发布名为《中国民营企业的回归:潮流已经逆转》的研报指出,在各种宏观、政策和微观因素驱动下,中国民营企业的中期投资前景正在改善。高盛还仿效美股“七巨头”,列出了中国“十巨头”,即高盛特别看好的十大中国民营上市公司。他们分别是:腾讯、阿里巴巴、小米、比亚迪、美团、网易、美的、恒瑞医药、携程和安踏。上述十家公司的总市值达1.6万亿美元,占MSCI中国指数权重的42%,日交易额达110亿美元。
高盛分析师预计,未来两年“十巨头”的盈利将增长13%(复合年增长率),市盈率为16倍。“十巨头”将共同体现中国人工智能/科技发展、“走出去”、新消费以及提高股东回报等最新经济主题。
此外,刘劲津特别指出,投资民营企业并不意味着排斥国有企业——高盛重申,其仍偏好于“高质量”的中国国有企业和股东回报组合。
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