Societe Generale has indicated that prolonged disruptions to oil production in the Middle East heighten the risk of partial or permanent output losses due to constraints in reservoirs, wells, facilities, and logistics. Analysts Michael Haigh and Ben Hoff stated, "Time is of the essence: the longer the disruption lasts, the greater the likelihood that what initially appears to be a temporary shutdown could evolve into a more enduring supply loss." The bank noted that risks begin to escalate after approximately two weeks of halted production, intensify if the stoppage exceeds one month, and after several months, capacity typically recovers to only 80%-95%. If production cuts extend to more oil-producing nations beyond Iraq and Kuwait, swiftly restoring pre-crisis supply levels will become increasingly challenging.