1059 ET - 巴克莱研究显示,衍生品市场对美联储明年大幅降息的可能性预期正在上升。该行分析师在报告中指出,投资者正越来越多地付出更高成本来防范美联储大幅降息的风险,而非加息风险。尽管美联储在9月进行了加息,但“未来一年政策利率低于3%的概率,实际上自9月FOMC会议之前以来已经上升。”巴克莱预计,随着美联储降息,短期收益率将比长期收益率下降得更快。
1059 ET - 巴克莱研究显示,衍生品市场对美联储明年大幅降息的可能性预期正在上升。该行分析师在报告中指出,投资者正越来越多地付出更高成本来防范美联储大幅降息的风险,而非加息风险。尽管美联储在9月进行了加息,但“未来一年政策利率低于3%的概率,实际上自9月FOMC会议之前以来已经上升。”巴克莱预计,随着美联储降息,短期收益率将比长期收益率下降得更快。
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