美国7月CPI低于预期,美股指数期货直线拉升,市场押注9月开始降息

老虎资讯综合
Aug 12, 2025

美国7月未季调CPI年率 2.7%,预期2.80%,前值2.70%。

美国7月季调后CPI月率 0.2%,预期0.20%,前值0.30%。

美国7月未季调核心CPI年率 3.1%,预期3.00%,前值2.90%。

美国7月季调后核心CPI月率 0.3%,预期0.30%,前值0.20%。

CPI数据公布后,美股三大指数期货直线拉升,美国短期利率期货下跌。交易员继续押注美联储将在9月和12月降息。预计在9月17日的议息会议,美联储将降息25个基点的可能性超过80%。

分析师速评CPI数据:能源指数下跌了1.1%,汽油指数下跌了2.2%;新车价格持平,二手车和卡车价格小幅上涨0.5%,同样值得注意的是,当月国内食品价格与上月持平。

分析师Anstey表示,值得注意的是,7月核心CPI同比上涨3.1%,略高于预期。请记住,美联储主席鲍威尔一直在说,政策制定者关注的是12个月的通胀。所以,这并不是一个好兆头。

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