交易员们在12月的大部分时间里都在猜测典型的年末“圣诞老人行情”是否会如期而至,现在他们可能终于等到了。标普500指数周四上涨0.8%,结束了连续四天的跌势,此前该指数本月一直下跌。如果参考历史,股市可能将继续走高:城堡证券汇编的数据显示,自1928年以来,标普500指数在12月最后两周上涨的概率高达75%,平均涨幅为1.3%。
包括Gail Hafif在内的高盛集团交易部门团队写道:“除非出现重大冲击,否则很难抵挡我们即将进入的这段季节性利好时期以及更为有利的仓位配置。”“虽然我们不一定认为会出现大幅上涨,但我们确实认为从现在到年底还有上涨空间。”

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