Stock Track | Mondelez Shares Plummet 5.18% as Q2 Results Raise Concerns Despite Beating Estimates

Stock Track
30 Jul

Shares of Mondelez International (MDLZ) plummeted 5.18% in intraday trading on Wednesday, despite the company reporting better-than-expected second-quarter revenue and profit. The sharp decline suggests investors are focusing on potential headwinds facing the snack food giant.

Mondelez, known for brands like Oreo and Cadbury, topped Wall Street estimates for Q2, driven by strong global demand for its premium chocolates and biscuits, especially in Europe. However, several factors appear to be weighing on investor sentiment:

1. Cocoa cost concerns: Analysts point to rising cocoa prices as a key challenge for Mondelez. Piper Sandler noted that cocoa is the "key building block for 2026 EPS growth," highlighting the importance of this input cost. 2. Uncertain outlook: TD Cowen analysts suggest that Mondelez's 2026 outlook reflects uncertainty around cocoa costs and volume recovery, which may keep the stock range-bound in the near term. 3. Potential demand headwinds: Bernstein analysts mentioned possible drags on consumer demand outside the U.S. related to GLP-1 drugs, although they maintain an "outperform" rating on the stock. 4. Macroeconomic uncertainty: Piper Sandler flagged risks from potential tariff changes and broader economic uncertainty.

Despite these concerns, some analysts remain optimistic about Mondelez's long-term prospects. Bernstein raised its price target to $88 from $79, citing expectations of easing cocoa costs, strong emerging market performance, and resilient chocolate demand outside the U.S. Similarly, Stifel increased its target price to $76 from $73.

As investors digest the mixed signals from Mondelez's earnings report and analyst commentary, the stock's significant drop suggests a cautious approach to the company's near-term challenges, even as its core business continues to perform well.

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