EB ENVIRONMENT's 2023 Performance Exceeds Expectations, CICC Raises Target Price to HK$6.16

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Yesterday

CICC has released a research report indicating that EB ENVIRONMENT (00257) reported a 9% year-on-year decline in revenue to HK$27.5 billion last year. However, profit attributable to shareholders increased by 16% year-on-year to HK$3.9 billion, surpassing the bank's expectations. Benefiting from ongoing operational transformation, revenue from construction services fell by 53% to HK$2.7 billion. At the same time, effective cost control led to a 1.2 percentage point decrease in the finance cost ratio to 8.7%. The debt-to-asset ratio further declined by 2 percentage points to 62% by the end of last year. The full-year dividend per share was HK27 cents, a 17% year-on-year increase, with the payout ratio rising to 42.3%. CICC has raised its net profit forecasts for EB ENVIRONMENT for this year and next by 4.9% and 4.6%, respectively, maintaining an "Outperform" rating. Considering that gradually strengthening cash flow is expected to support dividend-paying capacity, the target price has been raised by 18% to HK$6.16. The report notes that adjusted EBITDA for the environmental energy business increased by 3% year-on-year to HK$7.1 billion. Waste treatment volume grew by 3% to 53.7 million tons, electricity generated per ton of waste rose by 1% to 467 kWh, and grid-connected electricity increased by 5% to 17.6 billion kWh. Heating and steam supply reached approximately 3.5 million tons, achieving a year-on-year growth rate exceeding 30% annually since 2021. Adjusted EBITDA for the environmental water business decreased by 13% year-on-year to HK$1.9 billion, primarily due to a reduction in the number of projects under construction and construction activity. Revenue from construction services fell by 56% to HK$1.3 billion, while revenue from operational services remained robust with a 5% growth. Wastewater treatment volume increased by 3% year-on-year. Both the environmental energy and green environmental segments achieved record-high collection rates last year. The outstanding balance of unissued subsidies decreased to HK$2.3 billion by the end of last year. The company continues to advance the expansion of non-power businesses such as heating and steam supply, improving the operational efficiency of existing projects and enhancing cash flow performance. This outlook considers the ongoing operational transformation, improving gross margins, and a potential reduction in impairments.

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