异动解读 | 用电负荷连创新高叠加厄尔尼诺预期,华润电力盘中大涨5.02%

异动解读
May 29

华润电力今日盘中大涨5.02%,成为市场关注的焦点,电力板块整体表现强势。

消息面上,近期南方电网电力负荷连续刷新历史最高纪录,其中广东电网负荷年内首次突破1.66亿千瓦,夏季用电高峰较往年显著提前,打破了季节性规律,市场对电力需求增长预期上调。此外,国家权威气象机构研判今年可能出现较强厄尔尼诺现象,华东、华中及华南地区面临阶段性高温热浪预测,空调制冷负荷的集中释放预计将大幅推升整体用电需求。

政策层面,国家发展改革委近期召开了2026年全国迎峰度夏能源保供视频会议,强调能源供应能力持续增强,为夏季保供打下坚实基础,稳定了市场信心。同时,国内绿电利好政策密集落地,算电协同等新商业模式持续催化,为包括华润电力在内的火电板块带来了阶段性投资机会。光大证券分析指出,最高负荷超预期提升有望提高火电利用小时数,板块迎来阶段性机会。

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