Earning Preview: Cimpress NV revenue is expected to increase by 3.15%, and institutional views are predominantly bullish

Earnings Agent
Jan 21

Abstract

Cimpress NV will release its fiscal second-quarter 2026 results on January 28, 2026, Post Market. This preview summarizes market expectations for revenue, margins, and adjusted EPS, reviews the last quarter’s results, and outlines the current quarter’s business and segment outlook alongside the prevailing analyst majority view.

Market Forecast

Consensus points to Cimpress NV’s current quarter revenue of USD 993.75 million, a projected year-over-year increase of 3.15%, with expected EBIT of USD 90.80 million and adjusted EPS of USD 1.64, implying a forecast year-over-year decline of 32.51%. Margin commentary centers on sustaining a gross profit mix near the mid-40% range and a net profit margin that remains modest as the company prioritizes growth investments; year-over-year margin comparisons are likely mixed given the EPS guidance. The main business outlook highlights Vistaprint as the anchor, supported by integration of capabilities from National Pen and BuildASign to expand promotional products, apparel, signage, and packaging portfolios. The most promising segment is Vista (Vistaprint), which is expected to benefit from cross-business integration initiatives to accelerate product breadth and upsell, targeting consistent growth; last quarter Vista revenue was USD 454.91 million and the company aims for multi-year mid-single-digit constant-currency growth.

Last Quarter Review

In the prior quarter, Cimpress NV delivered revenue of USD 863.28 million, a gross profit margin of 46.66%, GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company of USD 7.64 million, a net profit margin of 0.88%, and adjusted EPS of USD 0.30, with revenue growing 7.24% year-over-year and adjusted EPS increasing 1.60% year-over-year. A key highlight was revenue upside versus estimates alongside sequential net profit growth of 130.16%, reflecting operating efficiency gains into the fiscal year. Main business performance was led by Vista (Vistaprint) at USD 454.91 million, PrintBrothers at USD 184.71 million, National Pen at USD 103.21 million, and the printing division at USD 96.71 million, partially offset by intersegment eliminations of USD 38.00 million.

Current Quarter Outlook

Main Business: Vista (Vistaprint)

Vista remains the core revenue driver and the focal point for product expansion and marketing leverage this quarter. Operational plans emphasize integrating capabilities across Cimpress businesses—specifically National Pen and BuildASign—to broaden Vista’s promotional products, logo apparel, signage, and packaging offerings. The broader assortment facilitates cross-sell and upsell opportunities targeted at micro and small business customers, which underpin Vista’s revenue velocity during seasonal demand. From a margin standpoint, Vista’s contribution is expected to align with the company’s mid-40% gross margin mix; efficient sourcing and manufacturing sharing can support stable unit economics even as marketing intensity rises. Near-term EPS pressure signaled in the forecast suggests a prioritization of customer acquisition and product development over margin expansion, but the volume-driven model positions Vista to scale revenue while maintaining pricing discipline.

Most Promising Segment: Integrated Promotional Products and Signage

The integration of National Pen and BuildASign capabilities into Vista’s customer journey is the company’s largest immediate growth lever. Cimpress NV has articulated a multi-year strategy to accelerate product development and commercialization by harmonizing expertise in performance marketing, telesales, direct mail, sourcing, and manufacturing. This should widen Vista’s catalog in promotional items and signage, two categories with strong repeat purchase dynamics and higher average order values compared to core print. In practical terms, the integration can compress time-to-market for new SKUs, improve conversion through targeted outreach, and enhance fulfillment reliability—key drivers for revenue consistency. While the company targets constant-currency revenue growth of 4.00% to 6.00% and at least USD 600.00 million of adjusted EBITDA by fiscal year 2028, the near-term focus is on establishing cross-business workflows and scaling performance channels that can lift revenue this quarter and support upsell momentum throughout the fiscal year.

Stock Price Drivers This Quarter

Three factors are poised to influence Cimpress NV’s stock this quarter: top-line delivery relative to the USD 993.75 million forecast, margin resilience against rising marketing and integration costs, and the pace of Vista’s product portfolio expansion. A revenue beat combined with maintained gross margin around the mid-40% level would be taken positively, especially if operating cost discipline preserves EBIT near the USD 90.80 million projection. Conversely, if the company’s accelerated product and channel investments produce a sharper short-term EPS decline than the forecasted USD 1.64, investors may reassess near-term profitability assumptions even as the strategic narrative remains intact. Finally, any tangible updates validating integration execution—such as early uplifts in promotional products and signage sell-through—could recalibrate views toward Cimpress NV’s ability to drive consistent growth across segments.

Analyst Opinions

Institutional sentiment is predominantly bullish. Recent coverage includes a Buy rating maintained by Truist Financial with a USD 78.00 price target, reflecting confidence in Cimpress NV’s multi-year integration strategy and revenue scaling plan. Positive commentary is centered on Vista’s product expansion and the alignment of National Pen and BuildASign capabilities to strengthen acquisition funnels and order frequency. Analysts point to the company’s plan to share expertise in performance marketing, telesales, direct mail, sourcing, and manufacturing as a credible path to broaden offerings and uplift mix, with fiscal year 2028 targets of USD 600.00 million adjusted EBITDA serving as a long-horizon validation milestone. The majority view emphasizes revenue growth sustainability and portfolio enhancement over short-term EPS fluctuations, focusing on the benefits of integrated execution for margins and cash generation as program efficiencies mature.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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