美东时间上午9点35分,美国天然气期货市场再度传来喜讯——这已经是连续第三个交易日价格上扬,背后驱动因素在于持续偏暖的天气模式有效提振了电力领域的用气需求。
九月初秋时节,高温天气预计仍将肆虐,美国多地有望迎来自有记录以来最炎热的九月之一。然而,市场并非铁板一块。EBW Analytics的分析师Eli Rubin在其最新研究报告中指出:"未来三周,季节性因素仍将是市场的主导力量。"他进一步预测,从现在到月底,电力行业的天然气消费量可能骤降约61亿立方英尺/日。Rubin还在报告中警示:"如果九月中旬依然热浪滚滚,电力部门天然气燃烧量的季节性断崖效应恐将加剧。"
截至发稿时,纽约商品交易所的天然气期货价格上涨1.2%,报每百万英热单位2.954美元。市场目光正聚焦于天气变化与季节性回落之间的博弈,多空交织之下,短期走势仍充满变数。
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