Abstract

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners will report fourth-quarter results on February 17, 2026 Pre-Market; this preview summarizes last quarter’s metrics, current-quarter forecasts, and recent institutional views to frame expectations.

Market Forecast

Consensus indicators point to fourth-quarter revenue near $5.24 billion, implying an estimated year-over-year increase of 16.96%, with adjusted gross profit margin and net profit margin not explicitly guided; the modeled revenue forecast is accompanied by a lack of disclosed EPS, EBIT, and margin guidance. The company’s principal operations remain anchored in nonalcoholic ready-to-drink beverages across Europe and the Asia-Pacific footprint; based on available data, revenue growth is expected to be broad rather than concentrated, though specific segment revenue and year-over-year growth figures are not provided. Information on the fastest-growing business segment, including revenue and year-over-year performance, is not available in the current dataset.

Last Quarter Review

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners’ last quarter reported revenue was $5.41 billion, gross margin was 35.34%, GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company was $457.00 million, net profit margin was 8.89%, and adjusted EPS was not disclosed in the dataset, with no year-over-year metrics provided. One notable highlight was a stable quarter-on-quarter trajectory in net profit; however, the absence of EPS and detailed segment disclosure limits a deeper view into profitability drivers. The main business breakdown was not furnished, constraining segment-level analysis for the quarter.

Current Quarter Outlook

Main Commercial Franchise

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners’ core franchise centers on manufacturing, distribution, and sales of trademark Coca-Cola brands and allied nonalcoholic beverages across Western Europe and key Asia-Pacific markets. For the quarter ending February 17, 2026, the topline forecast of $5.24 billion reflects continued momentum in price/mix and resilient volumes, especially in immediate consumption channels. Holiday-season activity and marketing activation typically bolster fourth-quarter sell-through, while cooler weather can moderate category volume growth, making execution on price-pack architecture and promotional efficiency crucial to maintaining margin quality. Without explicit guidance on gross margin and net margin, investors will watch cost line items such as PET resin, aluminum, sugar, and logistics for potential relief versus prior-year peaks, alongside ongoing revenue management benefits.

Most Promising Growth Vector

The most promising vector is expected to be revenue mix improvement from premium and immediate-consumption packages, where price integrity and brand support drive incremental gross profit per unit. In markets with steady away-from-home recovery, channel elasticity tends to support revenue per case even if volumes fluctuate. Strategic innovation in low- and no-sugar portfolios also plays into regulatory compliance and consumer health trends, supporting sustainable price/mix. Given the lack of segment disclosures, investors should infer that balanced growth across geographies and categories may underpin the forecast rather than a single breakthrough segment.

Stock Price Drivers This Quarter

The stock’s near-term performance will hinge on whether revenue outperforms or aligns with the $5.24 billion forecast and how margins land against cost input trends. Delivery on operating leverage—particularly distribution efficiency, marketing ROI, and overhead control—will shape EBIT trajectory despite absent formal guidance. Any commentary on commodity hedging, FX translation in Europe, and demand normalization in the Asia-Pacific region will be critical for interpreting the durability of the revenue growth rate. Given the muted disclosure on EPS in the dataset, qualitative management signals around free cash flow and capital deployment, including shareholder returns, could also frame sentiment.

Analyst Opinions

Across recent institutional notes within the six months through February 10, 2026, views are mixed, splitting between positive and neutral-to-cautious. Jefferies maintained a Buy rating with a target of €88.00 on October 30, 2025, citing a constructive stance on earnings resilience and execution. Bank of America Securities downgraded Coca-Cola Europacific Partners to Hold on January 14, 2026, flagging strong EPS growth but moderating sales momentum and a full valuation backdrop. With one bullish and one neutral rating in the collected period, the ratio of bullish to bearish/neutral is 1:1; the prevailing tone is balanced rather than decisively positive or negative. In this context, investor focus is expected to remain on whether revenue growth near 16.96% materializes and whether margins reflect easing input costs, which would validate the more optimistic case.