Saudi Arabia Recalibrates $2 Trillion 'Vision 2030' Amid Fiscal Strains, Reshuffling Project Priorities

Stock News
Feb 09

Facing fiscal pressures that necessitate adjustments to policies and spending priorities, Saudi Arabia is preparing to release an updated strategy for Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's economic diversification agenda. In an interview during the "Emerging Economies in AlUla" conference in Saudi Arabia, Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan stated that the government began discussions this week on how to communicate its strategy for the next five years. He identified tourism, manufacturing, logistics, and technology as key focus areas but did not provide further details or a specific timeline for the strategy's release. Among the organizations urging greater transparency and improved communication from the Saudi government is the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Reports indicate the government is re-evaluating plans for major projects, including new stadiums for the 2034 FIFA World Cup. Saudi Arabia has been fine-tuning its "Vision 2030" agenda, aiming to diversify its economy away from oil while seeking to reduce its budget deficit. Following years of elevated spending, there is a heightened focus on improving spending efficiency, a move intended to help navigate periods of volatile oil prices and revenues. Attracting more private capital and foreign investment has also become a more significant priority under Vision 2030. Estimates—based on interviews with informed sources, US government forecasts, official Saudi estimates, and data from research firm MEED—suggest the plan's cost could approach $2 trillion. "We are indeed continuing to reprioritize and revise policies, ensuring we continuously improve as we move forward, to ensure we can have the private sector lead the economy," Al-Jadaan said on the sidelines of the event co-hosted by the IMF and the Saudi Ministry of Finance. Saudi Arabia is working to narrow its fiscal gap. As spending on economic diversification initiatives has outpaced revenues affected by weaker oil prices, Saudi Arabia has been running a budget deficit since 2022. Officials describe the persistent deficit as a deliberate choice to continue supporting economic investment. They project the deficit will shrink from 5.3% in 2025 to 3.3% next year, although Wall Street economists anticipate a higher figure. The country forecasts its total financing requirement for this year will reach approximately $58 billion due to the need to cover the budget shortfall. It plans to issue up to $17 billion in bonds on international markets. "We have a fairly wide network of channels, and we can tap into them at any time if the required funding exceeds the plan," Al-Jadaan said on Sunday, highlighting the strength of the Saudi economy. In 2025, Saudi Arabia's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) recorded its fastest growth rate in three years, with the oil sector becoming a stronger engine of growth under new OPEC+ supply policies.

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