周五盘中，1.5倍做多恐慌指数短期期货ETF（UVXY）出现大跌，跌幅达5.02%，引发市场关注。这一走势与市场恐慌指标VIX指数的表现形成鲜明对比，后者当日上涨11%至22.17点。
分析人士指出，UVXY作为做多VIX的杠杆ETF，其价格走势通常与VIX指数保持正相关。然而，本次UVXY的下跌可能源于市场对短期波动性预期的调整。VIX指数的上涨主要反映了市场对人工智能估值的担忧以及美联储下一步利率决策的不确定性，但这种担忧可能被认为是短期的。
市场观察人士还注意到，美联储官员近期对12月降息持谨慎态度，导致市场对降息预期有所降温。根据CME数据，市场预期美联储12月降息的概率已从一个月前的95%下降至约50%。这种预期的变化可能影响了投资者对短期市场波动性的判断，进而导致UVXY等相关产品出现调整。投资者需密切关注即将公布的经济数据，以及其对市场情绪和波动性预期的潜在影响。
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