GTHT: Margin Financing Funds Return to Inflows, Mutual Fund Issuance Accelerates

Deep News
Oct 27

Key Insights: Market trading activity cooled slightly during the period, with inflows into equity-focused funds and margin financing accelerating, while foreign capital saw modest outflows from A-shares and Hong Kong stocks.

**Market Pricing Trends** 1) Sentiment (Declining): Turnover ratios dipped, with average daily A-share trading volume falling to RMB 1.8 trillion. Daily limit-up stocks rose to 73.2, while the maximum consecutive涨停板count reached 7. The封板rate climbed to 78.6%, but龙虎榜listings dropped to 59. 2) Profitability (Improving): The proportion of rising stocks increased to 81.2%, with median weekly returns for all A-shares rising to 3.1%. 3) Concentration (Easing): Sector turnover concentration retreated, with only 4 industries (coal, petrochemicals) maintaining turnover ratios above the 90th percentile.

**A-Share Capital Flows** 1) Mutual Funds: Equity-focused fund issuance rose to RMB 12.15 billion, though overall fund stock allocations declined slightly. 2) Private Funds: October私募信心指数edged down, but positions remained near yearly highs (as of Oct 17). 3) Foreign Investors: Net outflows of $120 million (to Oct 22), with northbound trading share rising to the 38.7th percentile historically. 4) Corporate Activity: IPOs raised RMB 2.54 billion; private placements totaled RMB 21.15 billion, while unlocked shares amounted to RMB 48.76 billion. 5) ETFs: Passive funds swung to net outflows (RMB 14.7 billion), with trading share dropping to 6.9%. Equity ETF premiums narrowed. 6) Margin Financing: Net purchases surged to RMB 21.09 billion, though trading share fell to 11.0%. 7) Retail Investors: Alternative indicators signaled increased activity.

**Sector Allocation** Foreign and domestic capital converged on tech and cyclical sectors: - Foreign inflows led in non-ferrous metals ($47.3M) and electronics ($29.0M), while outflows hit consumer staples (-$15.3M) and transport (-$13.2M). - Margin financing favored electronics (RMB 8.23B) and communications (RMB 3.42B), with non-ferrous metals seeing RMB 1.43B outflows. - ETFs: Non-bank finance (RMB 770M) led inflows, while power equipment (RMB 4.52B) and electronics (RMB 3.24B) faced outflows.

**Global Flows** The Hang Seng Index gained 3.6%, with South Korea’s KOSPI (+5.1%) outperforming. - Southbound flows to Hong Kong rose to RMB 17.28 billion (59th percentile since 2022). - Developed markets saw $6.53B active outflows but $21.88B passive inflows. The UK (+$1.01B) and France (+$550M) led foreign inflows, while the US (-$132M) extended outflows.

**Risks**: Data measurement discrepancies; third-party sourcing inaccuracies.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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