根据Polymarket预测市场上的押注，当SpaceX上市时，其市值突破1万亿美元几乎是板上钉钉的事，甚至有73%的概率估值超过2万亿美元。这些赌约的标的，是SpaceX首个交易日结束时的市值。该公司计划于六月上市，目标估值预计超过1.5万亿美元。
数据还显示，其市值超越3万亿美元的概率为17%，而超过2%的概率则为2%。这个基于加密货币的预测市场大约两周前才开始接受关于SpaceX市值的押注。目前交易尚不活跃，这意味着对这些概率数字应持保留态度。
若市值真的站上2万亿美元，SpaceX的价值将至少超过“七巨头”中的两家：
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