Xinyi Glass (00868) experienced a sharp decline in the market, plummeting 5.60% during the trading session. This downward movement aligns with a broader trend affecting solar stocks in Hong Kong, as the industry faces challenges following the conclusion of a recent installation rush.
The solar sector's downturn can be attributed to the end of an installation surge triggered by Document No. 136 issued earlier in the year. While this policy initially spurred a doubling of new solar capacity additions year-over-year, the momentum has significantly waned. June, July, and August saw continuous declines in installations, with month-over-month decreases expanding. This slowdown has raised concerns about overcapacity and future demand in the solar industry, directly impacting companies like Xinyi Glass, which supplies glass products for solar panels.
Looking ahead, analysts from Guosen Securities suggest that the profitability of solar companies will largely depend on the pace of capacity clearance and solar installation demand following the marketization of grid electricity prices. Market participants are also closely watching for the potential launch of a solar reserve platform in mid-October, which could influence industry dynamics. Additionally, as November approaches, the market faces potential pressure from the concentrated cancellation period for November polysilicon warehouse receipts, adding another layer of uncertainty to the sector's outlook.