异动解读 | 花旗下调盈利预测与评级,玖龙纸业盘中大跌6.07%

异动解读
Mar 03

玖龙纸业(02689)今日盘中股价大跌6.07%,引起了市场关注。

消息面上,花旗发布研究报告,基于近期废纸成本及2026年初至今纸浆价格较2025年第四季出现超预期的价格调整,下调了玖龙纸业2026、2027及2028财年的盈利预测,幅度分别为9%、12%及7%。该行指出,近期的价格调整由农历新年淡季及消费疲软引起。

此外,花旗认为玖龙纸业股价年初至今已上升约50%,应已完全反映2026财年上半年亮眼的业绩,因此将公司评级由“买入”下调至“中性”,并认为其股价上行空间有限。花旗同时开启30日负面催化观察,基于预期中国旧瓦楞纸箱(OCC)成本将在第二季淡季下滑,预期2026财年下半年纯利将按年下跌7%,每吨净利润也将收窄。

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