粮食巨头展望2026:期盼市场回归稳定

投资观察
Feb 05

受贸易摩擦、农产品价格低迷及生物燃料政策延迟等多重因素冲击,大型粮食贸易与加工企业过去一年遭遇严峻挑战。这些行业巨头正将目光投向2026年,期待市场环境趋于平稳。

最新财报显示,粮食巨头Archer Daniels Midland Co与邦吉的季度收益均未达到部分华尔街分析师的预期。其中,去年收割旺季期间中国对美国大豆采购节奏放缓,直接冲击了出口贸易商的业务。大豆供应过剩压低了市场价格,进而侵蚀了企业的交易利润空间。

总部位于伊利诺伊州的Archer Daniels Midland Co本周指出,大豆出口疲软导致其交易业务利润骤降31%。而完成对竞争对手Viterra收购案的邦吉虽实现交易业务销售额增长,但坦言去年贸易争端同样挤压了其利润率。

两家企业曾寄希望于美国生物燃料掺混政策扩大豆油需求,但相关法规迟迟未落地,进一步削弱了对农产品的需求。

财报发布后,Archer Daniels Midland Co股价周二下跌约1%。与之相对,邦吉高管对2025年市场正常化的预期推动其股价周三微涨1.6%。邦吉首席执行官格雷格·赫克曼在分析师电话会议中表示:"2025年充满贸易政策与中美摩擦的不确定性,我们预计新一年将恢复常态化的市场流动。"

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