UBS has upgraded its profit forecasts for JD HEALTH (06618) by 4% to 13% for 2025–2027, raising the target price from HK$78.5 to HK$85 based on a 30x P/E ratio or adjusted earnings for FY2027. The new target implies a 1.25x PEG ratio for 2027, with a maintained "Buy" rating.
The bank noted that JD HEALTH outperformed expectations in both revenue and profit for Q3 this year, with revenue growth accelerating to 28.7% YoY from 24.5% in H1. This was attributed to robust growth in pharmaceutical sales, a significant rebound in health supplement sales, and a relatively low base in Q3 2024.
UBS highlighted that JD HEALTH's pharmaceutical segment remains strong, supported by steady progress in its online-to-offline (O2O) strategy. The bank estimates drug sales grew around 30% YoY in Q3, with chronic disease and innovative drugs expanding even faster.