The annual inflation rate for the United States in January reached its lowest point since May of last year. Data released on Friday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that inflation slowed more than anticipated in January. This first major inflation report of the year, which was delayed due to the recent government shutdown, was closely watched by markets.
On a seasonally adjusted basis, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.2% in January compared to the previous month.
On an unadjusted basis, consumer prices rose by 2.4% over the past 12 months, down from the 2.7% increase recorded in December. These figures came in slightly below economists' forecasts of a 0.3% monthly increase and a 2.5% annual gain.
The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, rose 0.3% for the month and 2.5% over the year. This annual core increase is the smallest since 2021, offering some relief to markets concerned about the impact of tariff policies.
Here is how the latest CPI report affects typical household budgets.
**Housing Costs Remain Primary Driver of Inflation** Housing expenses continue to put pressure on both homebuyers and renters. The shelter index rose 0.2% in January, representing the largest factor in the overall monthly price increase. Annually, shelter costs were up 3%. Although still rising, the rate of increase for this index halved compared to the previous month, suggesting a potential positive shift in the trend.
**Food Spending Continues to Strain American Budgets** The overall food index increased 0.2% in January, with the index for food at home also rising by 0.2%. Prices rose in five of the six major grocery store food groups. These included cereals and bakery products, as well as meats, poultry, fish, and eggs. The largest increase was seen in cereals and bakery products, which rose 1.2% from the previous month. Conversely, the price of beef and veal, a key indicator monitored for food affordability, saw a slight decrease of 0.4%. Another closely watched grocery item, eggs, experienced a significant price drop of 7%.
**Lower Energy Prices Partly Offset Other Rising Costs** A decline in energy prices helped counterbalance upward pressures in other spending categories. The energy index fell 1.5% in January, primarily due to lower fuel oil and gasoline prices, which dropped 5.7% and 3.2%, respectively. According to data from the American Automobile Association (AAA), the national average price for a gallon of regular gasoline was $2.94, compared to $3.16 a year ago.
**Airfare Prices See Significant Rebound** Travelers continue to face high airfare costs even after the peak holiday season. The index for airline fares surged 6.5% in January. For those with near-term travel plans, driving may present a more economical alternative.