异动解读 | 铜价投机过热后现技术性回调,铜矿ETF-Global X盘前大跌6.10%

异动解读
Yesterday

追踪一篮子铜矿公司股票的ETF——铜矿ETF-Global X(COPX)今日盘前交易时段大幅下跌6.10%,引起了市场关注。

消息面上,此次下跌主要源于伦敦期铜价格在飙升至历史新高后,市场出现技术性回调与获利了结压力。根据多家机构分析,日间伦铜主力合约一度大涨超10%,创下历史纪录,这主要由空前的投机资金流入推动。然而,此轮凌厉涨势已明显脱离供需基本面。

花旗在报告中指出,虽然铜价可能因中国投资者的配置在未来几周触及每吨1.5万至1.6万美元的高位,但对这种买盘能否持续的信心不高,并提示春节前可能是获利了结的触发点。高盛集团也警告,高企的铜价正在抑制下游实物需求,中国制造业需求走弱尤其明显。华泰期货报告同样提及,铜价在短时内急剧拉涨后,存在冲高回落的压力,且库存处于高位,现货市场供应相对充裕的信号与期货价格涨势形成背离。市场担忧,若投机热情退潮,价格或将回归基本面逻辑,这导致了以铜矿股为标的的ETF在盘前出现显著抛售。

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