无视市场波动！花旗坚持看多美股，维持标普500指数年终7700点乐观预测

智通财经APP

Mar 27

尽管地缘政治风险升温与宏观不确定性加剧拖累市场情绪，花旗仍维持对美股基准指数的乐观预期，未对全年目标作出调整。

智通财经APP获悉，花旗在最新发布的客户报告中重申，对标普500指数的年终基准预测为7700点。这一判断基于每股约320美元的盈利预期，而该行认为这一盈利假设甚至可能偏保守。此外，花旗还提出乐观情景，预计在企业利润增长超预期及估值小幅扩张的推动下，标普500有望上探至8300点；而在悲观情景下，若基本面走弱、估值收缩，指数可能回落至5700点。

花旗指出，当前市场面临的挑战正在增加，其中包括与伊朗相关的地缘冲突升级，同时还叠加人工智能带来的结构性冲击、私人信贷市场的潜在风险以及全球贸易政策不确定性等多重因素。

尽管如此，该行表示暂不调整全年预测。报告称：“我们目前维持全年目标不变。”

从市场表现来看，标普500目前交投于约6417点附近，今年以来累计下跌约6.7%。若要实现花旗的基准情景目标，指数需从当前水平上涨约20%，显示出其对未来反弹空间的相对乐观预期。

分析人士认为，在风险因素持续扰动的背景下，花旗维持高目标位反映出其对企业盈利韧性的信心。不过，能否实现该预期仍取决于地缘局势、通胀路径及政策环境等关键变量的演变。

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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