Option Focus | ARM Draws $3.03 Million Bet on Deep Out-of-the-Money $640 Calls for March 2027, Signaling Aggressive Long-Term Bullish Conviction

Option Witch
Sep 24

ARM closed at USD 332.56, down 0.19%, after trading between USD 324.56 and USD 336.98 on volume of about 6.97 million shares.

Large options trades were dominated by a USD 3.03 million long-dated call purchase, creating a clearly bullish tone. A block of 1,750 March 2027 $640.00 calls was bought, and with ARM shares near USD 332.56, this deep out-of-the-money position reflects aggressive long-term upside conviction rather than near-term hedging or income generation. The trade lifted call-side premium flow and reinforced a positive sentiment shift in ARM’s options market.

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Options Indicators

ARM’s implied volatility is 78.93%, and with an IV percentile of 70.92%, current option volatility sits in the elevated zone, indicating that options are priced expensively relative to ARM’s own recent history. At the same time, the IV/HV ratio of 0.93 suggests implied volatility is slightly below realized volatility, so although absolute option premiums are rich on a historical percentile basis, they are not especially overstated versus the stock’s actual recent movement.

The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.78.

Large Trades

A call purchase worth $3.03 million was the standout large trade in ARM, with 1,750 contracts bought on the March 19, 2027 $640.00 strike. With the stock referenced at $332.56, this call is deeply out of the money, making it a high-upside bullish wager that depends on a substantial rally over a long time horizon. The trade suggests the buyer was seeking leveraged upside exposure rather than near-term protection, positioning for a major appreciation scenario in ARM shares into 2027.

Overall, the large-trade flow points clearly bullish. The only notable block was a sizable long-dated call buy, and its far-out-of-the-money strike indicates aggressive upside expectations rather than a defensive or income-oriented posture. Taken together, the bulk-order activity suggests a trader or institution is expressing confidence in ARM’s long-term upside potential and is willing to pay premium for convex exposure to a strong advance.

Strategy Reference

For a lower assignment probability sell-side idea, traders could consider the March 2027 $180.00 put, while a bullish call spread such as buying the $400.00 call against selling the $640.00 call may offer defined risk for those unwilling to post larger margin on the deep out-of-the-money long call alone.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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