0942时（美国东部时间）——美银策略师指出，美联储明日加息的可能性不容低估，此举将赋予主席沃什“巨大的通胀公信力”。尽管他们预计美联储会维持利率不变，仅伴随少数鹰派反对声音，但当前不确定性程度高于往常——这源于油价在6月疲软通胀数据公布后的飙升。美银强调，自1994年以来，美联储从未在市场定价不足60%的情况下加息。而据芝加哥商品交易所数据，当前加息概率仅为32%。策略师们判断，鹰派立场将导致国债收益率曲线趋于平坦：短端收益率上升，长端收益率下降。这种格局还将推升美元汇率。
0942时（美国东部时间）——美银策略师指出，美联储明日加息的可能性不容低估，此举将赋予主席沃什“巨大的通胀公信力”。尽管他们预计美联储会维持利率不变，仅伴随少数鹰派反对声音，但当前不确定性程度高于往常——这源于油价在6月疲软通胀数据公布后的飙升。美银强调，自1994年以来，美联储从未在市场定价不足60%的情况下加息。而据芝加哥商品交易所数据，当前加息概率仅为32%。策略师们判断，鹰派立场将导致国债收益率曲线趋于平坦：短端收益率上升，长端收益率下降。这种格局还将推升美元汇率。
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