28.1%——这是芝商所数据显示，交易员当前认为美联储直至年底维持利率不变的概率。这一数字与一个月前相比，可谓天壤之别，彼时该概率仅为11%左右。
尽管年内加息仍被视为最有可能的情景，但上周弱于预期的非农就业报告，以及昨日发布的消费者物价指数（CPI）显示通胀温和回落，使交易员如今相信，美联储已获得更大的喘息空间。
今日，另一项通胀数据即将揭晓——生产者价格指数（PPI）将于美国东部时间上午8:30公布。这份报告尤为关键，因为其部分基础数据，将被用于计算美联储最为青睐的通胀指标：个人消费支出价格指数（PCE）。
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