标普500指数跌破关键支撑,或预示美股反弹终结

智通财经网
31 Mar

知名金融服务公司BTIG首席市场技术员乔纳森·克林斯基最新报告直指,标普500指数跌破5670点关键技术位,显示持续近两个月的逆势反弹动能可能耗尽。

克林斯基在3月28日的客户报告中指出,标普500未能守住5670点关键缺口支撑,这一曾被视作多头防线的重要水平位失守,意味着市场情绪发生根本转变。

"我们原本预期指数将向5900点发起冲击,但跌破5640点后,短期内这种乐观情景已难以实现。"他强调,月底常见的资金再平衡流入被4月2日关税公告前的避险情绪完全压制,显示出投资者正提前应对政策不确定性。

尽管重大利空落地后常出现"卖出谣言,买入新闻"的反转行情,但克林斯基从技术角度分析认为,标普500已呈现向5500点近期低点回落的脆弱态势。

"市场明显处于控盘不足状态,指数冲击200天均线失败后,不仅回补5670点缺口,更持续下探新低。"

行业板块轮动显示,当前市场缺乏持续领涨的热点方向。"除贵金属外,很难找到维持上升趋势的板块",克林斯基指出这种无序状态使得多头难以构建有效阵地。

值得警惕的是,标普500低波动ETF与高贝塔指数ETF的比值已逆转近期大部分涨幅,释放出明确的避险信号。

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