Option Focus | Netflix's $8.88 Million Double-Long Put Combo Signals Aggressive Bearish Conviction, Overwhelming Smaller Bullish Spreads

Option Witch
Aug 15

Netflix, Inc. closed at $78.16, down 0.10%.

A massive $8.88 million double-long put combination dominated NFLX's options arena, signaling aggressive bearish conviction that overwhelmed smaller bullish spread trades. The institutional-sized dark pool prints starkly contrasted with the surface-level call/put volume ratio, revealing a deep divergence between retail activity and the directional bets of large traders.

>>>Click to claim your commission-free cards before trading!

Options Indicators

NFLX’s implied volatility is 31.59%, and with an IV percentile of just 9.16%, current option pricing sits on the low end of its recent range, indicating volatility is relatively subdued and options appear cheaply priced rather than expensive. The IV/HV ratio of 1.08 suggests implied volatility is only slightly above realized volatility, so the market is not attaching a significant premium to near-term uncertainty. The Call/Put volume ratio is 2.24.

Large Trades

A directional double-long PUT combination with a net debit of $8.88 million was the standout large trade, consisting of long 110.0 puts and long 116.0 puts expiring on 2026-09-18. Both legs were in the money versus the $78.16 reference stock price, making this a high-conviction bearish structure rather than a premium-selling hedge. Because both puts were purchased outright in the same expiration, the trade signals an aggressive downside view and a willingness to pay substantial premium for leveraged protection or a sharp directional move lower.

A bullish put spread with a net debit of $0.23 million involved buying the 70.0 put expiring on 2026-12-18 and selling the 78.0 put expiring on 2026-08-21, with both strikes out of the money relative to the $78.16 reference price. Despite the unusual cross-expiration setup, it is still classified here as a bull put spread and reflects a moderately constructive stance, likely combining premium collection on the nearer-dated short put with downside coverage from the longer-dated lower-strike long put. Overall sentiment across all large trades was bearish: bullish flow totaled $8.04 million, bearish flow reached $10.20 million, and the net difference was $2.16 million to the bearish side. The conclusion is that large traders leaned negative on NFLX, with the dominant driver being the very large outright put-buying activity, while the smaller bullish spread trades appeared insufficient to offset that downside conviction.

Strategy Reference

Given the subdued IV percentile and bearish large-trader conviction, a contrarian short put seller could consider the 15-delta out-of-the-money strike for a low assignment probability, while traders unwilling to post significant margin might lean toward a bear put spread using the elevated put premiums to partially fund a defined-risk position.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10