Oracle's stock experienced a sharp intraday decline of 5.05% on Monday, as investor sentiment turned negative following a significant analyst downgrade and reports of escalating costs for its AI infrastructure projects.
The sell-off was triggered by Rothschild & Co Redburn slashing its price target on Oracle from $155 to $110 while maintaining a Sell rating. Analysts expressed concerns about the company's aggressive capital expenditure strategy, particularly its $16.5 billion AI data center project in New Mexico which faces environmental approval setbacks requiring a switch to a more expensive fuel cell solution. Additional regulatory compliance expenses exceeding $100 million for a Wisconsin project further pressured the cost outlook.
Compounding these issues are deteriorating credit metrics, with Oracle's credit default swap spread surging to a record 198.23 basis points and S&P having already downgraded its rating to BBB- — just one notch above junk status. Broader market concerns about the reliability of long-term AI contracts, which Oracle heavily relies on with $638 billion in remaining performance obligations, added to the negative sentiment driving the stock lower.