Abercrombie & Fitch Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary and Q&A Highlights: Record Sales Amid Tariff Challenges
Earnings Call
29 May
[Management View] Abercrombie & Fitch reported record net sales of $1.1 billion in Q1 2025, an 8% increase year-over-year, driven by strong performance in Hollister stores. The company is leveraging its agile operating model to adapt to market conditions and maintain brand strength.
[Outlook] The company raised its full-year net sales growth outlook to 3%-6% for FY2025, reflecting first-quarter outperformance. However, operating margin guidance was lowered to 12.5%-13.5% due to estimated tariff costs. Plans include opening 60 new stores and remodeling 40 existing ones.
[Financial Performance] Q1 2025 saw a decline in operating margin to 9.3% from 12.7% in Q1 2024, primarily due to higher freight costs and carryover inventory pressures. Earnings per share were $1.59, down from $2.14 last year. Regional sales growth was strong, with EMEA up 12% and Americas up 7%.
[Q&A Highlights] Question 1: Dana Telsey asked about the outlook for Abercrombie and Hollister, including initiatives driving growth and changes in real estate strategy. Answer: Fran Horowitz highlighted Abercrombie's flexibility in chasing goods and expects an inflection in the back half of the year. Hollister's growth is driven by culturally relevant initiatives like The Grad Shop. Robert Ball discussed real estate adjustments, noting reduced store closures due to successful landlord negotiations.
Question 2: Corey Tarlowe inquired about the confidence in the revised sales outlook and expectations for Abercrombie's return to growth. Answer: Robert Ball explained the sales outlook reflects Q1 outperformance and reasonable expectations given the current environment. Scott Lipesky added confidence comes from strong investments in marketing and technology. Fran Horowitz expects Abercrombie to see growth in the back half, driven by flexible inventory management.
Question 3: Matthew Boss asked about traffic trends and carryover inventory at Abercrombie and Hollister. Answer: Fran Horowitz reported strong traffic for both brands, with Abercrombie working through carryover inventory. Robert Ball noted Abercrombie's inventory levels are more normalized compared to last year.
Question 4: Kelly Crago sought details on Abercrombie's Q1 performance and Q2 sales guidance. Answer: Fran Horowitz attributed Abercrombie's performance to carryover inventory and weaker sales in certain categories. Robert Ball confirmed Q2 guidance incorporates current trends, with expected growth driven by Hollister's back-to-school season.
Question 5: Marni Shapiro asked about store count and updates on YPB and smaller footprint stores. Answer: Robert Ball detailed store openings and closures, while Fran Horowitz highlighted YPB's strong performance and upcoming initiatives. Robert Ball discussed the success of smaller footprint stores like Williamsburg.
Question 6: Alex Stratton queried about bright spots within Abercrombie and changes in EPS guidance. Answer: Fran Horowitz noted strong performance in activewear and bottoms. Robert Ball explained EPS reduction is primarily due to tariffs and Q2 margin pressures.
Question 7: Mauricio Serna asked about Q1 gross margin dynamics and inventory growth. Answer: Robert Ball explained freight and carryover inventory pressures on gross margin, with expectations for sequential improvement. Inventory growth aligns with sales growth.
Question 8: Rick Patel inquired about promotional strategies and growth expectations in Europe and Asia. Answer: Robert Ball discussed aligning promotions with inventory levels and maintaining value proposition. Scott Lipesky highlighted strong growth in the UK and Germany.
Question 9: Janet Kloppenburg asked about Abercrombie's second-half improvement and competitive pressures. Answer: Fran Horowitz emphasized the team's ability to respond to emerging trends and maintain flexibility. Competitive pressures are acknowledged but the focus remains on staying ahead.
[Sentiment Analysis] Analysts expressed cautious optimism, focusing on the company's ability to navigate tariff impacts and maintain growth. Management conveyed confidence in strategic initiatives and long-term opportunities.
[Risks and Concerns] The primary risk is the impact of tariffs, estimated at $50 million for 2025, affecting operating margins. Carryover inventory and freight costs also pose challenges.
[Final Takeaway] Abercrombie & Fitch delivered record sales in Q1 2025, driven by strong performance in Hollister stores. Despite tariff challenges, the company remains focused on strategic growth initiatives, including store expansion and marketing investments. Management's agile approach and commitment to brand strength position the company for continued success, with expectations for Abercrombie's sales to improve in the latter half of the year.
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