泡泡玛特股价回调或现布局良机 分析师指业绩预期仍强劲

投资观察
Jul 16, 2025

泡泡玛特(09992.HK)近期的股价回调或为投资者提供入场契机。CGS国际分析师指出,部分买方机构对该公司上半年净利润的预期区间达45亿至55亿元人民币,同比增幅高达340%-440%。这意味着泡泡玛特此前"不低于350%"的预增指引仅触及预期下限。

当前市场对其IP可持续性存在疑虑,分析师认为"在强劲涨势中部分投资者选择获利了结实属合理"。不过该机构强调,泡泡玛特在IP运营及商业化能力方面具备显著优势,其IP生命周期可能超出市场预期。值得关注的是,公司市值管理能力与IP矩阵协同效应尚未被充分定价。

截至发稿,该股下跌4.3%至251.80港元(约合人民币234元),创近三周最大单日跌幅。此次回调发生在股价年内累计上涨67%之后,技术性调整特征明显。分析师特别提及,公司新推出的珍藏系列产品预售数据亮眼,或将成为下半年业绩超预期的关键变量。

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