Option Focus | Strategy’s $1.93 Million Long Call on the October 2026 $165 Strike Signals Bullish Positioning as IV Percentile Sits at Just 15.94%

Option Witch
Sep 29

Strategy closed at USD 157.14, down 0.93 %.

A notable bullish options flow emerged in Strategy on Friday, highlighted by a $1.93 million long call position on the October 2026 $165 strike. This large directional bet arrived as implied volatility percentile remained historically subdued at 15.94%, suggesting traders saw relatively cheap upside exposure despite Strategy’s elevated absolute IV level. The session’s options activity leaned heavily bullish, with bulk call accumulation and no meaningful bearish large-trade presence.

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Options Indicators

Strategy’s implied volatility is 75.15%, while its IV percentile sits at 15.94%, indicating that although the absolute IV level is high, it remains low relative to its own recent range. In other words, current option pricing is on the cheaper side and volatility conditions are subdued versus the stock’s typical history, which is also consistent with the IV/HV ratio of 0.76, suggesting implied volatility is running below realized volatility.

The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.66.

Large Trades

A call purchase worth $1.93 million stood out as the key large trade, with 3,500 contracts bought on the October 9, 2026 $165.00 call. With MSTR referenced at $157.14, this strike was out of the money at the time of the trade, making it a straightforward bullish upside bet that required the stock to move higher over time for the position to gain intrinsic value. The use of a single-leg long call suggests the trader was seeking leveraged upside exposure while keeping risk limited to the premium paid, which is typically consistent with a directional bullish view rather than income generation or hedging.

Overall, the large-trade flow was clearly bullish. The displayed block was an outright call buy, and the broader bulk-order activity also leaned entirely to upside call accumulation with no meaningful bearish large-trade presence. That pattern points to traders positioning for further appreciation in MSTR, with sentiment favoring continued upside rather than protection or downside speculation.

Strategy Reference

For traders seeking to align with the bullish large-trade flow while reducing upfront premium or margin, a bull call spread on Strategy may be preferable to a single-leg long call. For example, buying the October 2026 $165 call and selling the October 2026 $200 call could define a targeted upside range while lowering net cost. Alternatively, a cash-secured put seller looking for a low assignment probability could consider the October 2026 $100 put, which sits far below spot and aligns with the prevailing upside sentiment without requiring a large directional move.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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