AI Cloud Upstart Nebius Sees Wild Swings as Investors Weigh Major Contract Against Debt Plan

Deep News
Mar 18

Nebius, an emerging player in the AI cloud sector, is leaving investors deeply conflicted as it balances a massive new order against aggressive spending plans. On Tuesday, March 17, Nebius announced plans to issue $3.75 billion in bonds to fund its AI infrastructure expansion, causing its stock price to drop sharply by 10.4%. This decline erased a portion of the strong gains the stock had recently achieved. Just one day earlier, on Monday, Nebius revealed a five-year, $27 billion AI infrastructure supply agreement with Meta, which had propelled its shares up by 15%. Earlier this month, Nvidia also announced a $2 billion investment in Nebius, with the two companies collaborating on AI infrastructure deployment, another development that had previously driven the stock higher. Despite the recent pullback, Nebius shares remain up 25% for the month to date. Analysts suggest these sharp price movements reflect market concerns over the high costs associated with AI infrastructure. While large contracts offer significant growth potential, realizing that potential requires substantial capital investment, which has caught some newer investors off guard.

**Issuing $3.75 Billion in Bonds to Boost AI Infrastructure** In a press release on Tuesday, Nebius stated it plans to conduct two private placements, issuing convertible senior notes due in 2031 and 2033, totaling $3.75 billion. The company clearly indicated that proceeds from the bond issuance will be used to fund the construction of data centers, further develop its full-stack AI cloud services, and acquire additional graphics processing units (GPUs). Nebius CEO Arkady Volozh emphasized in Monday's announcement that the deal with Meta is part of the company's efforts to secure "more large, long-term capacity contracts" to grow its AI cloud business. He stated, "We will continue to deliver on our commitments."

**Analyst: Capital Requirements Should Not Be a Surprise** Although the market reacted negatively to the debt announcement, some analysts believe it was expected. BWS Financial analyst Hamed Khorsand, in an interview, noted, "This stock has many new investors, and I don't think they were prepared for the level of capital需求 Nebius has been discussing." However, Khorsand pointed out that the move to issue bonds should not come as a shock. "Nebius mentioned their capital needs on the last earnings call and said they would look for avenues that are less dilutive to the stock," he explained. "I interpreted that as them seeking the right opportunity." Khorsand added that the deal with Meta presents a substantial growth opportunity, but Nebius needs to spend money to unlock this potential. Compared to competitor CoreWeave, he noted, Nebius does not currently carry "massive debt."

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