交易员预期今年加息可能性已高于降息

投资观察
4 hours ago

华尔街交易员正押注美联储今年存在小幅加息的可能性,此前央行官员于周三释放了若干鹰派信号。

根据芝加哥商品交易所集团数据,利率期货市场周三午后显示,交易员预计美联储今年加息概率已达11%,较当日早间的5%及周二的零概率显著攀升。与此同时,降息概率则徘徊在2%附近。

美联储在最新政策声明中仍保留"未来数月降息可能性高于加息"的表述。然而,三位地区联储主席正式对此表述提出异议,主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔更暗示,鉴于通胀持续高企,相关表述可能于下次会议即被删除。

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