地缘冲突驱动的通胀正悄然改变全球货币政策的走向,Fitch的Brian Coulton指出。鉴于对疫情后通胀的记忆犹新,各国央行“正急于展现其政策可信度并稳定市场预期”。Coulton强调,当前政策利率“远高于2021年水平”,而劳动力市场状况与薪资压力已趋缓和,财政政策也不像以往那样扩张。Fitch预计,美联储与英国央行今年将维持利率不变,并于2027年重启降息。对于欧洲央行,该机构预测其将在6月加息,并于明年逆转这一政策。
地缘冲突驱动的通胀正悄然改变全球货币政策的走向,Fitch的Brian Coulton指出。鉴于对疫情后通胀的记忆犹新,各国央行“正急于展现其政策可信度并稳定市场预期”。Coulton强调,当前政策利率“远高于2021年水平”,而劳动力市场状况与薪资压力已趋缓和,财政政策也不像以往那样扩张。Fitch预计,美联储与英国央行今年将维持利率不变,并于2027年重启降息。对于欧洲央行,该机构预测其将在6月加息,并于明年逆转这一政策。
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