Goldman Sachs Maintains Bet on Mid-Curve Treasury Weakness, Favors Long-Term Inflation Hedge

Deep News
Nov 03

Goldman Sachs' strategy team reiterated its investment thesis in a recent research report: continue positioning in underperforming segments of the U.S. Treasury yield curve's mid-section while holding long-term inflation hedge positions. Regarding the Federal Reserve's policy signals released Wednesday, the report noted they delivered "some degree of shock" to rate markets banking on steady 2024 rate cuts—Chair Powell explicitly stated a December cut isn't predetermined.

Strategists emphasized: "While the current economic cycle progression sets the stage for future policy debates, the monetary policy path remains contingent on labor market evolution." This analysis reveals market bets on Fed easing may be overly optimistic absent clear employment weakness.

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