中银国际大幅下调名创优品目标价至20.6港元,维持“买入”评级

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Yesterday

中银国际发布最新研究报告指出,在名创优品(09896)公布业绩及8月31日股价大幅波动后,该行认为其估值已开始进入值得重新关注的区间,建议投资者可在未来寻觅合适时机进行再度评估。

该机构仍然看好名创优品长期成长为全球领先零售商的潜力,因此维持其H股及美股(MNSO.US)的“买入”评级。不过,H股目标价已从34.4港元大幅下调40.1%至20.6港元,美股目标价亦由17.6美元削减40.3%至10.5美元。

同时,中银国际将2026至2028财年的经调整盈利预测分别下调18%、20%及14%。名创优品次季业绩显著低于市场预期,经调整经营利润及经调整净利润分别同比下滑84%及24%,按会计准则计算的净利润更是转为亏损。

除了汇兑损失的影响外,公司海外业务表现亦有所转弱,快速扩张导致费用大幅攀升,对盈利构成明显压力。该行预计,2026年下半年业绩仍将持续承压,公司即将进入业务调整阶段,经营拐点最早可能要到2027年才会出现。

中银国际认为,快速全球扩张转化为盈利增长的投资逻辑,将需要更长时间才能得到验证。

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