Bank of America Doubles Taiwan's GDP Growth Forecast on AI-Driven Demand

Stock News
Feb 10

Bank of America has significantly increased its economic growth forecast for Taiwan this year. In a report issued on Tuesday by analysts including Xiaoqing Pi, the bank raised its 2026 GDP growth projection for Taiwan from 4.5% to 8%, citing "overwhelming global demand" for technology hardware produced by Taiwanese companies. Taiwan's economy already experienced strong growth in 2025, driven by artificial intelligence (AI) demand. Even against this backdrop, upward revisions to its growth outlook continue. Bank of America stated that this revision "reflects our continued optimism about Taiwan's tech-driven expansion prospects, which have been further reinforced by recent developments." These developments include greater exchange rate stability, a trade agreement with the United States, and increased spending by technology firms. Bank of America joins institutions like Goldman Sachs Group and Barclays in adopting an even more optimistic view following Taiwan's achievement of its fastest growth rate since 2010 last year. Taiwan's economic growth in 2025 was primarily export-driven. Regional officials recently indicated that the economy grew at over 12% in the fourth quarter of last year, the fastest pace since 1987. The views of Bank of America and other institutions further highlight market optimism that the AI boom will continue this year. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM.US), the primary chip manufacturer for Nvidia (NVDA.US), recently stated plans for capital expenditure of up to $56 billion, exceeding previous market expectations. This announcement comes as tech giants like Google (GOOGL.US), Meta Platforms (META.US), and Amazon (AMZN.US) continue to increase their investments in AI. Bank of America also noted that, given "inflation remains moderate, service sector wages are stagnant, non-tech industries are weak, and the property market continues to cool," it expects Taiwan's monetary authorities will not raise policy interest rates this year. The bank added that risks to its forecast also include factors such as "geopolitical dynamics."

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