Morgan Stanley has downgraded cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD.US) from "Overweight" to "Equal-Weight" while simultaneously raising its price target from $490 to $495. Analysts led by Keith Weiss explained their cautious stance emerges after a remarkable 50% stock surge and heightened growth expectations. They acknowledge CrowdStrike remains compelling for long-term investors but believe its anticipated second-half acceleration now appears fully priced into current valuations.
The research team emphasized CrowdStrike's enduring leadership in cybersecurity, its advantageous position within the consolidating platform market, and direct benefits from AI adoption. However, with shares soaring nearly 50% since April lows, analysts contend the valuation adequately reflects the growth rebound, leaving limited near-term upside potential.
Second-quarter earnings, analysts noted, might fail to significantly shift investor sentiment. Market focus remains intensely fixed on the latter half of the year. Visibility into key drivers—Customer Commitment Plans (CCP) renewals and the revenue recognition/margin impact of Falcon Flex contracts—remains unclear.
While maintaining conviction in CrowdStrike's long-term trajectory, Morgan Stanley views the current risk-reward profile as balanced. Consequently, they adopt a wait-and-see approach, anticipating more favorable entry points to establish positions in the future.
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